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Thursday, 12 January 2017

Betfred Classic Chase Preview

The Betfred Classic Chase (Saturday 3.35), run over 3 miles 5 furlongs at Warwick, has thrown up winners at 20/1, 18/1, 14/1 and 10/1 in the last ten years and this year’s renewal will, as ever, provide a thorough test of stamina and jumping ability.

Goodtoknow (40/1) has only won four of his 27 starts under Rules, but has won over 3 miles 4½ furlongs, revels in testing conditions and is reasonably weighted on his best form. He hasn’t shown a great deal in two starts this term, but he should be fighting fit and has dropped back to his last winning mark, so isn’t one to dismiss out of hand. He probably needs a career-best effort to win this, but the step back up in distance on soft going is in his favour, particularly if first-time blinkers have the desired effect.

Kingswell Theatre (33/1) has yet to win beyond 2 miles 7½ furlongs, but has recorded three of his four career wins on soft or heavy going and has only been tried beyond 3 miles twice. He made a respectable return to action when third of 14, beaten 17 lengths, behind Lamb Or Cod in the Welsh National Trial at Chepstow in December and lost a shoe when pulled up over 3 miles 2½ furlongs at Cheltenham on New Year’s Day. Clearly he has risks attached but, like Goodtoknow, is back on his last winning mark and could belie generous odds with a forward showing.

Selections: Goodtoknow (40/1 with Coral), Kingswell Theatre (33/1 generally available)

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