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Friday 27 January 2012

2012 Presidential Election - Republican Nominee

I've been keeping a keen eye on the Republican primaries, in part because US politics is infinitely more dramatic and interesting compared to here in the UK. Mitt Romney performed well in last night's debate compared to Newt Gingrich and as such is now firm favourite to win Florida. However, there's still a long way to go and there's an outside danger than if Romney fails to completely shake off the competition those within the party will begin to worry. If that situation comes about there's a chance that someone like Mitch Daniels or Jeb Bush could be pushed forward as an alternative. It wouldn't matter that they didn't have any delegates because delegates are not binding. As such if the party loses faith in a candidates ability to seal the deal they may start looking elsewhere. With these two alternatives at odds of 200-1 +, it's worth keeping them in mind. Your best bet would be to wait until we've seen the results from the Caucus' on 3rd and 7th of February. It could be the Romney has effectively sealed the deal by then. If not though, and his momentum looks to be once again stalling, it could be time to go for a longshot.