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Tuesday 10 March 2015

Five Grand National outsiders to consider

The Grand National is a race where every horse has some sort of chance, even the outsiders. You only have to look at the recent winners of the race to see that it is possible to be an unfancied horse and still bask in Aintree glory.
Mon Mome was 100/1 when winning in 2009 and, two years ago, Auroras Encore was a 66/1 shot. Indeed, in the last eight renewals of the race, there have also been two 33/1 winners and a 25/1 winner.

So, when you have a look at the Grand National betting, don’t just focus on those at the top of the market. And, to help you along, here are five possible National runners this year which are a big price.
The eight-year-old is a general 66/1 shot after winning the West Wales National at Ffos Las when, controversially, only one other horse finished. That was over three-and-a-half miles and Bob Ford’s trainer Rebecca Curtis feels the horse is a National-type. He is a front-runner and can sulk when he doesn’t lead, which is a concern, along with his preference for heavy ground. But it has not been unheard of for Aintree to turn into a quagmire in April and he would be one to have on your side in that event.
The former Cheltenham Festival winner will be trainer Karen McLintock’s first runner in the Grand National. He warmed up for the National with a third at Kelso when he stayed on over a trip just short of three miles, which suggests he is ready to step up in distance. Carlito Brigante will head to Aintree a relatively fresh horse and the expected good ground will also be right up his street.
Duke Of Lucca already knows the feeling of winning on Grand National day after taking the Listed Handicap Chase 12 months ago. An intended runner in the Cross Country Chase at Cheltenham before going on to Aintree, he will be Philip Hobbs’ second string as the trainer also has last year’s runner-up Balthazar King. There would be concerns over his jumping after a fall and unseated rider so far this season, but he will be staying on when others have had enough.
An intended runner in the National for Ian Williams, Super Duty is not considered an outsider for the race by his trainer, despite his price of 50/1. He has finished second in the Kim Muir at the Cheltenham Festival and was fourth in a Grade One Novice Chase at Aintree in 2013. He missed over a year due to a leg injury before returning over hurdles at Wetherby in January. His first run over fences since December 2013 came at the end of February when he was seventh to Wayward Prince in the Grimthorpe Chase at Doncaster. Williams felt they want too quick on the ground for Super Duty that day, but the National should suit and he does have a touch of class.
This horse has yet to get round in the National after unseating Aidan Coleman in the last two runnings. However, he chased Auroras Encore all the way to the line in 2013 and he does have some smart form in the book. He needed the run on tiring ground behind Rocky Creek in the BetBright Chase at Kempton on his reappearance. Better ground will suit him and he is on the same mark that he ran off last year. Trainer Kim Bailey also sent out Mr Frisk to win the National in 1990, although he was a bit more fancied at 16/1.