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Thursday 19 March 2015

Five outsiders for Dubai World Cup night

The Dubai Carnival concludes with the glittering spectacle of World Cup night when there are seemingly untold riches on offer to the winners.
The meeting at Meydan is always competitive and attracts plenty of horses sprinkled with stardust from around the world.
Because the quality of the fields is so deep, you can often find even Group One winners available at big prices and they are always worth a look in the betting.

Here are five horses entered for different races on World Cup night who are currently available at big prices:
David Simcock likes to send runners out to Dubai and his six-year-old Caspar Netscher has one of the more interesting profiles of those likely to tackle the Al Quoz Sprint over five furlongs. As a juvenile, Caspar Netscher was twice a Group Two winner over six furlongs. He won the Greenham Stakes over seven furlongs on his first start at three and, after finishing unplaced in the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket, he went on to win the German equivalent over a mile. His form somewhat plateaued after that and, as a five-year-old, he only reappeared in August last year when well beaten in the Maurice de Gheest at Deauville. He had three more runs before winning the Grade Two Nearctic Stakes at Woodbine over six furlongs. That success secured a place in the field for the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint and he finished eighth to Bobby’s Kitten, beaten three lengths. On his only run since, he was beaten just a short head and a head by Sir Maximilian in Dubai. That was his first run over five furlongs since his two-year-old days. He is probably short of being genuine Group One class, but he will strip fitter for that warm-up over five furlongs.
Just The Judge set a British auction record for a filly last December when sold for 4.5million guineas. The five-year-old is a two-time Group One winner, who is entered in the Dubai Duty Free and was bought to be kept in training. Just The Judge was second to Sky Lantern in the 1000 Guineas in 2013 before taking the Irish version. She was then third to Sky Lantern in the Coronation Stakes before going off the boil on two subsequent runs. It took time for Just The Judge to hit form last season as well, as she twice finished behind Thistle Bird before taking third place in the Beverly D. Stakes at Arlington Park. She then won the Grade One E.P. Taylor Stakes at Woodbine before finishing third to Dayatthespa in the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf. The intermediate trip of nine furlongs in the Duty Free shouldn’t be an issue, but she has only run twice against the colts in her career.
A maiden when with Charlie Hills, Shaishee has shown gradual improvement since moving out to Dubai over trips ranging from six furlongs to a mile. The five-year-old put himself in line for a tilt at the Golden Shaheen when winning the Group Three Mahab Al Shimaal last time over six furlongs. Shaishee ran on strongly that day to beat United Color by three-quarters of a length, with Krypton Factor back in fifth. Shaishee will be staying on at the finish and could run well at a big price.
Another runner from the Simcock stable, Sheikhzayedroad finished ninth in the Dubai Gold Cup over two miles last year. The Sheema Classic over a mile-and-a-half looks to be the target this time and the six-year-old won the Grade One Northern Dancer at Woodbine over that trip last season. That came on the back of a Listed and Group Two success before the season ended with a sixth to Noble Mission over 10 furlongs in the Champion Stakes when he stayed on past beaten horses. A second to Sky Hunter in the Dubai City of Gold should put Sheikhzayedroad in the right condition to run a big race.
A regular at the Carnival, Side Glance is 33/1 at the time of writing with betfair for the Dubai World Cup, despite finishing fourth in the last two runnings of the race. The eight-year-old skipped the Winter Derby at Lingfield and Andrew Balding’s globe-trotter is expected to run in Dubai. Side Glance’s last 16 runs have all been at Group One level, and he has struck once when winning the Mackinnon Stakes at Flemington in November 2013. Side Glance was only beaten half a length in fourth by Adelaide in the Cox Plate on his last run in October as injury ruled him out of another crack at the Mackinnon Stakes. At eight, how much ability he retains has to be guessed at, but he is reported to be in good form and he is a tempting price at 40/1.