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Monday 25 May 2015

4:30 Leicester, May 26

Finding selections that we expect to go well at rewarding odds is tricky, especially during midweek, but the Coronation Fillies’ Handicap (4.30) at Leicester looks an above average contest for the grade and might just be ripe for a turn up.

For a filly who ran creditably off higher marks in two nursery handicaps over 7 furlongs on the Rowley Mile Course at Newmarket last autumn, Conjuring ran too badly to be true when only eighth of eleven, beaten 30 lengths, behind Lahayeb at Nottingham earlier this month and deserves another chance. She’d handled soft ground well enough at Newmarket and was ridden along at Nottingham long before the 1 mile ½ furlong would’ve been an issue, so it’s reasonable to assume that she just wasn’t fit enough to do herself justice.

If that was the case, the daughter of Showcasing looks attractively handicapped and should be suited by dropping in class and distance on good to firm going. Win or lose, she looks extraordinary value at 33/1 with Bet 365 and Ladbrokes in the early price lists.

Selection: Leicester 4.30 Conjuring to win